COMMENTARY | COLUMNISTS | FRED SCHNAUBELT

Stage set for Republican wins in 2014 and 2016

After losing his 99th consecutive game, Charlie Brown, the great American philosopher of "Peanuts," hangs his head.

"Don’t be disheartened in these dark days of discouragement and despair, one day you will win," Lucy says.

“Really, do you really think so?” Charlie Brown replies.

“Well, frankly no!” Lucy says.

It’s amazing how many “Charlie Browns” have called or emailed, discouraged and disheartened over the presidential election. But, contrary to Lucy, the stage has been set for big wins in 2014 and 2016 by tea party conservatives.

The fact is President Barack Obama is inheriting a worse economy from himself than from former President George W. Bush. Unemployment is higher today than when the president took office four years ago (7.9 percent versus 7.6 percent, and 12.3 million unemployed workers today versus 11.6 million in January 2009), and that after spending trillions. The current unemployment rate among adult women is 7.2 percent, 14.3 percent for blacks and 10 percent for Latinos, compared to 6.2 percent, 12.6 percent and 9.7 percent, respectively, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. How long until we see galloping inflation?

There are three paradoxes:

1. Stocks, commodities and real estate go up more under Democrats, according to Bloomberg.

2. Women and minorities do worse under Democrats.

3. The so-called rich, while publically castigated, with tax loopholes do better under Democrats.

Seven of the 10 richest members of Congress are Democrats; the three richest Republicans are Michael McCaul, Darrell Issa and Jim Renacci. The wealthiest presidents to occupy the White House are John F. Kennedy (Democrat), Lyndon Johnson (Democrat), Herbert Hoover (Republican) and Franklin Roosevelt (Democrat).

In “blue” states with a majority of Democrats, the average income is $100,000, while in “red” states with a majority of Republicans, the average income is $30,000, according to labor statistics. Of the 10 wealthiest ZIP codes with political preference, six are represented by Democrats and four by Republicans. As Casey Stengel used to say, “You can look it up.”

"One Party Country," written in 2006 by two Los Angeles Times reporters, asserted that the Republican Party will dominate the political scene for the next 40 years, having won seven of the 10 previous races for the White House, and controlling the Senate by 10 seats and the House by a margin of 30. Republicans held a majority of governorships and a plurality of state legislatures. The conclusion: The Democrat Party will be assigned to the dustbin of history. Interestingly, it was written just three election cycles ago.

This reminds me of my fourth-grade class. The teacher told my friend Johnny to write his name on the chalkboard.

"Hey teach, I ain't got no chalk," he said.

Correcting him, the teacher said, "It's, 'I don't have any chalk, you don’t have any chalk, he doesn't have any chalk, she doesn't have any chalk, they don't have any chalk.'"

Johnny blurted out, "What the hell happened to all the chalk?"

What the hell happened to the Republicans? Yes, they lost big in 2008, and subsequently Time magazine’s May 2009 cover labeled Republicans as an "endangered party" and Sam Tanenhaus wrote "The Death of Conservatism." The message was that if Republicans do not adopt the enlightened views of liberals, they are toast. We hear the same today; after all, the president did win big by an overwhelming 2 percent of the popular vote, while inexplicably for Democrats, the Republicans retained control the House. What a difference a couple of cycles will make when the stars again are aligned and the pendulum swings for Republicans.


Schnaubelt, president of Citizens for Private Property Rights, has been a commercial real estate broker for 35 years and was a San Diego city councilman from 1977 to 1981.

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